Will it be wet, hot, cool? Here are a few regional outlooks from NOAA.

What might spring be like in your neck of the woods—hot and humid? Cool and clammy? Marshy and buzzing with the noise of millions of gross bugs?

While nobody can say for sure about the latter, NOAA has made predictions about temperature, precipitation, and flooding, and they should be welcomed by both the drought-hammered West and warmth-starved East. (What’s that about another snowstorm this weekend?) The main story is the enduring presence of El Niño. While it’ll probably weaken in the months ahead, NOAA calls it a “strong climate signal that will shape the nation’s weather this spring.”

First, temperature: A huge portion of the country is under high probabilities for above-average warmth from April to June. The armpit-staining torridity is expected to be particularly intense in the Pacific Northwest and New England, as shown in this graphic from Climate.gov.

Heightened probabilities of wetness extend from California through the South and into the Southeast. Places that could get starved of moisture include the Great Lakes, eastern Washington, southern Alaska, and Hawaii.

The already-saturated earth in much of the country’s south and midsection is ratcheting up flood threats through May. Says NOAA: “Parts of Louisiana, Arkansas and eastern Texas have an elevated risk of moderate flooding, along with communities along the Mississippi and Missouri River basins and the southeastern United States, from Alabama to North Carolina. Surrounding areas are at risk of minor flooding this spring.”

Flooding won’t help areas that really need a deluge, notably Southern California. The drought situation as of last week had much of the state under “exceptional” aridity, with abnormal-to-severe drought spread throughout the West.

A few places are expected to see a decrease or even end to drought, such as Northern California and Oregon. Drought will likely persist in Nevada and the lower half of California, however, and even spread to new territory in the Southwest.

About the Author

Most Popular

  1. a photo of a WeWork office building
    Life

    What WeWork’s Demise Could Do to NYC Real Estate

    The troubled coworking company is the largest office tenant in New York City. What happens to the city’s commercial real estate market if it goes under?

  2. Uber Eats worker
    Life

    The Millennial Urban Lifestyle Is About to Get More Expensive

    As WeWork crashes and Uber bleeds cash, the consumer-tech gold rush may be coming to an end.

  3. A photo of a police officer in El Paso, Texas.
    Equity

    What New Research Says About Race and Police Shootings

    Two new studies have revived the long-running debate over how police respond to white criminal suspects versus African Americans.

  4. James Mueller (left) talks to South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (right)
    Equity

    South Bend’s Mayoral Election Could Decide More than Pete Buttigieg's Replacement

    Pete Buttigieg's former chief of staff, James Mueller, is vying with a Republican challenger to be the next mayor of South Bend, Indiana.

  5. Design

    Charles Jencks and the Architecture of Compassion

    The celebrated architectural theorist, who died this week, left a down-to-earth legacy: thoughtfully designed buildings and landscapes for people with cancer.

×